Weather Forecast, Observations Archive NWS O-Hare Saturday, January 28, 2023

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Saturday Hi 30, snow, 3″ by 5a Sunday, cloudy, winds WNW to N to NE, 1 to 15 MPH, G13 to 23 MPH, 2p into Sunday

Weather forecast for Saturday, January 28, 2023.
Weather forecast for Saturday, January 28, 2023.

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Saturday and Saturday Night …

Weather Hazards expected …

Elevated Snow Risk.

Elevated Ice Accumulation Risk.


Accumulating snow is likely Saturday, Saturday night and early Sunday morning, especially north of I-80. The heaviest snowfall totals are expected north toward the Wisconsin border. Freezing rain is possible tonight, mainly near and south of I-80 where some ice accumulations is likely. By Sunday before sunrise, expect about 3.0 inches new snow accumulation south and 3.4 inches north in Arlington Heights. Expect snow accumulations of 4.8 inches in Antioch, 4.8 inches in Zion, and 4.6 inches in Harvard, Illinois. The highest snowfall rates in Arlington Heights, Antioch, Zion and Harvard are forecast to occur between 11:00 a.m. and 11:00 p.m. Saturday.

Less snow is forecast in south Chicagoland. Total snow accumulation of 1.8 inches is forecast for Naperville.

Snow accumulation forecasts have trended downward in the past 24 hours. There is significant uncertainty regarding the type of precipitation that will occur near I-80 with a warm front that could advance north more than expected. Weather watching will be interesting Saturday to see if snow accumulation outcome in Chicagoland continues to trend downward.

Snow-to-liquid ratios are forecast to be 10:1 (wet, heavy) south and 15:1 (drier, light) north.

The normal daily low temperature is now rising, beginning an increase from 16 to 17°F Saturday. The normal daily high increases from 31°F to 32°F in three days. We’re gaining about 2 minutes of daylight every day in the progression toward vernal equinox, March 20, 2023. Sunset passed the milestone of 5:00 p.m. yesterday and is 5:01 p.m. today, Saturday.



Forecast Beginning Saturday, Jan. 28, 2023


Saturday: Snow likely, mainly after 11am. Cloudy, with a high near 29. Light and variable wind becoming east northeast 10 to 15 mph in the afternoon. Chance of precipitation is 70%. Total daytime snow accumulation of less than one inch possible.

Saturday Night: Snow before 9pm, then snow, possibly mixed with freezing rain between 9pm and 1am, then snow likely after 1am. Low around 22. North northeast wind around 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 90%. Little or no ice accumulation expected. New snow accumulation of 1 to 3 inches possible.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of snow showers before 9am. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 25. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph.

Sunday Night: A chance of flurries. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 11. Wind chill values as low as -1. North northwest wind around 10 mph, with gusts as high as 15 mph.

Monday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 14. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around -3.

Tuesday: Sunny, with a high near 14.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 4.

Wednesday: Partly sunny, with a high near 24.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 10.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 23.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 5.

Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 22.

Weather Forecast, Observations Archive NWS O-Hare

Weather Forecast, Night Sky Archive NWS O-Hare

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National Weather Service O’Hare Weather Observations Saturday, January 28, 2023 (SOURCE: NOAA National Weather Service Chicago)
National Weather Service O’Hare Weather Observations Saturday, January 28, 2023 (SOURCE: NOAA National Weather Service Chicago).

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Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Chicago/Romeoville, IL
543 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

.SHORT TERM… Issued at 304 AM CST Fri Jan 27 2023

Through tonight…

Water vapor imagery early this morning shows mid-upper level trough digging into the northern and central Plains and heading for the mid-upper Mississippi Valley. A couple well defined, potent looking vorts are embedded within the broader trough, the southern most one over eastern South Dakota will be our problem maker today. Thursday evening RAOBS and SPC mesoanalysis both show a large area of steep mid-upper level lapse rates associated with this trough, and its these lapse rates that are supporting the convective looking precip across MN and IA early this morning.

The forcing associated with the trough and in particular the strong vort over eastern SD will quickly overspread northern IL later this morning. While time/height cross sections suggest the strongest ascent will be above the dendritic growth zone (DGZ), the steep lapse suggest some convective enhancement is pretty likely and could result in more impressive ascent, including through the DGZ. With temps initially solidly below freezing, there should be a band of wind driven accumulating snow moving across the area later this morning into the afternoon.

Initially low level dry air will need to be overcome; the stronger forcing is progged to be over our northern CWA where we`ve continued with categorical pops. Over southern CWA, forcing isn`t progged to be quite as strong and it is more questionable if the dry low level air will be overcome, so maintained high end chance pops there. Looking upstream, similar scenario is playing out over southern IA with CIGS remaining high and fewer reports of precip.

While snow could fall rather heavily for a time with this initial band, the duration looks to be fairly short, likely limiting accumulations to less than in inch. Strong winds will accompany this band of snow with gusts of 30 to 40 mph appearing fairly likely. The strong winds will result in blowing snow and further lowering visibility during the snow. Plan to freshen up and reissue the SPS for this snow/wind.

More showery precipitation is expected to continue in the wake of the initial band behind the north-south oriented warm front and ahead of the cold front that will be fast on the heels of the warm front. Maintained mostly snow showers in the forecast for this afternoon, but it is possible that there could be some rain showers or ice pellets with the early afternoon shower activity as far north perhaps the I-88/I-290 corridors. Day shift will need to monitor trends and may need to make adjustments accordingly.

Mid-upper levels quickly dry out in the wake of this trough passage later this afternoon resulting in an end to the precipitation. Could briefly see some breaks in the clouds tonight before mid-high cloudiness ahead of the next wave move in. Winds will quickly diminish tonight, but cloud cover should keep temps more in check tonight vs what we`re seeing early this morning with clear skies.

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